New community venue risk estimation study published on Health&Place (https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1bqOX4pqpjmrr3) The proposed score shows strong positive correlation with new cases in two weeks, and it successfully shows early sign of outbreaks in COVID hot spots like Navajo Nation, New York, Georgia and Louisiana.
Show the Community: New community venue risk estimation study published on Health & Place
Very interesting - thanks for sharing! The model assumes the cumulative distribution function of active cases mirrors the cumulative distribution function of birthdays in a sample from the “birthday paradox” concept - did I get that correct? @Ziheng_Sun_George_Mason_University
Yes, that is correct. We assume all the individuals in the community population have the same chance of showing up in the venue activities. The probability distribution is assumed to be close to Binomial.
Awesome. I look forward to seeing the next iteration!